Market analytics · June 2026 archive
Vineyard, Utah real estate market report.
Monthly sold prices, days on market, sale-to-list ratio, and absorption rate. Updated nightly from UtahRealEstate.com and the Washington County Board of Realtors.
Updated · Sources: UtahRealEstate.com & Washington County Board of Realtors
June 2026 · Market Analysis
Vineyard closings rebound to 16 in June as Westbrook leads and sub-$400K homes slow the pace.
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Closed sales in Vineyard doubled from May's 8 to 16 in June 2026 — a meaningful recovery that matched June 2025's 15 closings almost exactly and confirmed that the May dip was a timing blip, not a demand retreat. The market is balanced but leaning toward buyers in specific segments: the median sale price of $533,000 sat well below the median list price of $694,500, a gap that tells you the active shelf is priced above what's actually clearing. Seven of the 16 closings involved a prior price reduction, which reinforces that sellers who held firm on aspirational pricing largely watched others close instead.
Market pulse
Closings in Vineyard have swung noticeably month to month in 2026: 3 in January, 15 in February, 8 in March, 18 in April, 8 in May, and now 16 in June. Days on market ticked back up to a median of 27 days in June after hitting a spring low of 19 in May, though that's still well below the 50-day median from January. Active inventory held nearly flat — 40 homes in June versus 39 in May and 35 in April — suggesting new listings are roughly keeping pace with closings rather than building a backlog. The sale-to-list ratio slipped to 99.05% in June, down from 100.42% in May, a signal that the brief window of sellers getting above asking has closed for now.
Mortgage context
The 30-year fixed rate has climbed steadily since February's 6.14% monthly average — through 6.48% in March, 6.55% in May, and 6.66% in June — arriving at a current spot rate of 6.875%, up 0.125 percentage points over the past 30 days. That trajectory matters for Vineyard buyers because the city's price range spans from the low $300Ks to well above $1M, and the jumbo rate of 7.0% now applies to a meaningful share of transactions here. Buyers financing in the $700K-plus band are feeling the squeeze most acutely as rates push monthly costs further from where they were earlier this year.
Payment math
At $533,000 — June's median sale price — a buyer putting 20% down finances $426,400, and at today's 6.875% rate that works out to a monthly principal and interest payment of $2,801. That's $36 more than 30 days ago when the rate stood at 6.75%, and $206 above the February low when rates averaged 6.14% and the same loan would have cost $2,595 a month.
If you're buying
Target homes that have been sitting past 40 days — the Edgewater at Geneva community had two closings in June with a median of 85 days on market and a median sale near $360,000, well below list, which shows what patience can yield in the sub-$400K range. In the $700K-plus band, Westbrook closed three homes in June at a median of $745,000 with only 13 days on market, so well-priced inventory there moves fast — come prepared with financing locked before you tour. If you're being priced out of American Fork or Lehi's resale market, Vineyard's $400K–$700K band had five closings in June at a median of $556,000 and a quick 13-day median pace, meaning competition is real but the price point is still accessible.
If you're selling
The $694,500 median list price versus the $533,000 median sale price is the clearest signal in June's data: homes priced to last year's expectations are not closing. Seven of 16 sellers took a price cut before closing — if your home isn't differentiated by condition, location, or lot, price it at or just below recent comparable sales from the start rather than chasing the market down. Westbrook is the exception right now, with three closings at a 13-day median pace, so sellers in that community have more room to hold firm; everywhere else, the data favors a sharper opening price over a negotiated reduction later.
Outlook
With 40 active listings and 16 closings in June, Vineyard is sitting at roughly 2.5 months of supply — a pace that keeps neither side firmly in control heading into late summer. Rates averaging 6.66% in June and now at 6.875% spot will continue to compress the pool of buyers who can comfortably afford the $700K-plus segment, which has historically driven a large share of Vineyard's volume. Expect days on market to drift slightly longer through July and August as the prime selling season winds down and rate-sensitive buyers recalibrate their budgets.
Watch for
At the current pace of new listings running around 19–20 per month, if closings slip back toward May's 8, months of supply could climb past 5 by September — enough to push the sale-to-list ratio into the 97%–98% range and give buyers meaningful room to negotiate below ask.
"Vineyard's June rebound: closings doubled from May, but rising rates and a split market keep sellers honest."
Common questions about Vineyard this month
Is Vineyard a buyer's or seller's market in June 2026? ▾
It's balanced, with a slight lean toward buyers in most price ranges. At 2.5 months of supply and a 99.05% sale-to-list ratio, sellers aren't giving homes away — but the $161,000 gap between the median list price and median sale price shows that overpriced homes are sitting. Well-priced homes in communities like Westbrook are still moving in under two weeks.
Why is the median sale price in Vineyard so much lower than the median list price? ▾
The active listing shelf in June had a median list price of $694,500, but the median of what actually closed was $533,000. That gap reflects two things: a higher share of sub-$400K homes closing (6 of 16 closings), and sellers in the mid-to-upper range pricing above what buyers are willing to pay at current rates. It's not a market-wide price drop — it's a mismatch between asking prices and closing reality.
Which neighborhoods in Vineyard are selling fastest right now? ▾
Westbrook was the most active community in June with 3 closings at a median of just 13 days on market and a $745,000 median sale price — the fastest-moving pocket in the data. At the other end, Edgewater at Geneva had 2 closings but a median of 85 days on market, reflecting the longer wait typical of the sub-$400K segment.
How are rising mortgage rates affecting Vineyard buyers? ▾
The 30-year rate has climbed from 6.14% in February to a current spot of 6.875% — a 0.74 percentage point increase that adds $206 per month to the principal and interest payment on a median-priced $533,000 home with 20% down. The jumbo rate of 7.0% applies to many of Vineyard's higher-end transactions, making the $700K-plus segment the most rate-sensitive part of the market right now.
Should I price my Vineyard home at list or below to sell quickly in summer 2026? ▾
The data from June suggests pricing at or just under recent comparable sales gives you the best shot at a clean close. Seven of 16 sellers took a price cut before closing, and the sale-to-list ratio dropped to 99.05% — meaning the average seller netted about 1% below their final list price. Starting sharp beats chasing the market down with reductions, especially as buyer traffic typically softens in July and August compared to the spring peak.
Number of Listings
Active inventory · new listings · sold per month
Listing Prices
Active median list · new median list · sold median sale
Absorption Rate
Months of supply — active inventory ÷ monthly sold rate
Sale-to-List Ratio
Close price ÷ list price — buyer/seller leverage
Days on Market
Median days from listing to under contract
Price Volume
Total dollar volume — active · new · sold per month
June 2026 cohort breakdown
Distribution of what closed last month — by price band, sale-vs-list outcome, and top subdivisions.
How sales priced vs asking
16 sold homes that had a list price recorded
Days on market spread
Quartile distribution
Median 27 · 25th percentile 12 · 75th percentile 42
Needed a price change
Sold listings that had a recorded price change before close
7 of 16 sold homes had at least one price change while listed. Lower = sellers are pricing right the first time.
Sales by price band
Closed-price bucket → sold count and median days to contract
Top subdivisions this month
Ranked by closed count
- 1. Westbrook 3 sold · $745K · 13d
- 2. Edgewater At Geneva 2 sold · $360K · 85d
- 3. Hampton At Waters Edge 1 sold · $1,263K · 42d
- 4. Holdaway Road 1 sold · $900K
- 5. Ridge 1 sold · $556K
June 2026 by property type
How each housing type performed last month — 13 closings total across subtypes.
Summary Statistics
| Metric | Jun-26 | Jun-25 | % Chg | 2026 YTD | 2025 YTD | % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sold Count | 16 | 15 | +6.67% | 68 | 78 | -12.82% |
| Median Sale Price | $533,000 | $685,000 | -22.19% | $650,782 | $648,710 | +0.32% |
| Median DOM | 27 | 23 | +17.39% | 28 | 23 | +21.74% |
| Sale-to-List Ratio | 99.05% | 97.69% | +1.39% | 99.39% | 98.95% | +0.44% |
Sources: UtahRealEstate.com and the Washington County Board of Realtors, aggregated by Best Utah Real Estate. Sale-to-list ratio compares closing price to the final list price (post-reduction). Absorption rate = active inventory ÷ monthly sold rate.